Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000277 0.000310 0.000346 0.000388 0.000436 0.000488 0.000549
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000211 0.000257 0.000312 0.000381 0.000468 0.000573 0.000709
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000230 0.000296 0.000387 0.000508 0.000666 0.000889
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000209 0.000283 0.000390 0.000542 0.000752 0.001068
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000183 0.000259 0.000372 0.000542 0.000790 0.001183
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000171 0.000250 0.000374 0.000569 0.000866 0.001363
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000166 0.000251 0.000391 0.000618 0.000982 0.001621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000152 0.000238 0.000383 0.000627 0.001033 0.001779
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000137 0.000220 0.000364 0.000616 0.001050 0.001877
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000131 0.000216 0.000368 0.000644 0.001135 0.002110
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000130 0.000219 0.000386 0.000697 0.001271 0.002459
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000122 0.000211 0.000381 0.000707 0.001329 0.002662
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000116 0.000205 0.000380 0.000727 0.001411 0.002934
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000108 0.000196 0.000372 0.000733 0.001468 0.003164
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000104 0.000193 0.000377 0.000765 0.001581 0.003537
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000100 0.000190 0.000380 0.000793 0.001690 0.003923
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000092 0.000178 0.000363 0.000776 0.001699 0.004067
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000174 0.000365 0.000801 0.001804 0.004469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000088 0.000178 0.000381 0.000859 0.001997 0.005134
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000170 0.000373 0.000861 0.002053 0.005444
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000077 0.000159 0.000355 0.000837 0.002040 0.005560
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000074 0.000158 0.000359 0.000867 0.002172 0.006116
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000162 0.000376 0.000932 0.002404 0.007016